Kill the farm bill
America’s complicated system of agricultural subsidies, regulations, and price controls has long stood on a corrupt log-rolling bargain. Urban Democrats in Congress have strongly supported subsidies and price supports for mostly Republican farm country in return for Republican support for a generous and ever-expanding Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, better known by its old name of “food stamps.”
The current bargain “works” as an exercise in client politics. SNAP assures that everyone gets enough calories, while the agricultural price supports and subsidies have brought farm family income above the national average.
While this “bargain” has been expensive, Congress and presidents of both parties have tried to mitigate its worst excesses. While keeping food stamps intact as an entitlement, the welfare reforms of the 1990s transformed SNAP into a “hand up” that went to many people who worked full-time for low wages. On the farms, meanwhile, subsidy and insurance programs typically covered a small enough percentage of losses that farmers still had an incentive to plant and manage wisely.
The last decade, however, has seen the spending grow more and more extravagant. SNAP, which accounts for 78% of the bill’s cost, deteriorated first. Under the Bush administration, federal regulators and Congress began to allow states to play fast and loose with eligibility rules for SNAP, and this practice accelerated under the Obama administration. Democrats got to hand out more tax dollars, while Republicans both helped support their farm constituents, who grow what’s purchased with food stamps, and got to claim they had transformed the entitlement program into “workfare.”
When the economy tanked, genuine need for the program rose. The result has made food stamps into an ever-growing entitlement whose ranks have expanded from 26.5 million in 2007 to more than 45 million today. The Senate, in the version it just passed, contented itself with closing only a few obvious loopholes, while allowing the overall program to remain far larger than its historical size.
In an even more egregious overreach, the bill now pending in the House threatens to gut limits on farm subsidies in one fell swoop. Most important, it introduces a massive, heavily subsidized new program called “shallow loss” coverage. Like existing crop insurance, this program provides farmers protection against both natural disasters that might befall their crops and changes in market prices that reduce revenue. (Such explicit coverage against market fluctuations is very rare in private insurance.) Unlike existing subsidized coverage, which requires farmers to assume as much as half of the risk themselves, “shallow loss” will guarantee that farmers lock in up to 90% of the revenues they’ve been enjoying during the recent period of record high commodity prices. Unlike the slated-for-elimination Direct Payments program—which simply hands money to farmers whether or not they plant, and thus has a predictable cost—the shallow loss program is an open-ended entitlement that could cost vastly more than forecast.